AI Futures, the research group behind the AI Futures Model, updated its AI timelines forecasts, slightly shortening them and expressing increased confidence due to improved modeling and evidence. The …
A writer on LessWrong argues that military unipolarity is likely within our lifetime and that AI development should be paused once it emerges, analyzing scenarios from the AI Futures Project's Plans S…
George Hotz's blog post 'AI 2040 and the Cult of Intelligence' argues against hard takeoff scenarios for AI, claiming intelligence is not the end-all and that machines are subject to physical and supp…
OpenAI publicly rolled out GPT-5.6 (including Sol and Luna) and rebranded its desktop agentic coding product as ChatGPT Work, amid disputed claims about US government green-lighting and delays, and co…
Frontier AI models can rediscover 61.25% of known legal loopholes and generate new ones, according to a study by Wei Liu et al. in 'Large Language Models Hack Rewards, and Society,' raising concerns t…
AI 2040's transparency plan for AGI projects proposes four regimes, with 'Total Research Transparency' as the preferred option, making nearly all AI research public to improve government and corporate…
A review of the book AI 2040 highlights its vision that by 2036, 99% of Earth's land will be designated as historic and nature preserves, a dramatic leap from current conservation levels. The book's a…
The AI Futures Project released AI 2040: Plan A and is calling for additional research into competing strategies for navigating the intelligence explosion, including indefinite halts, domestic-first r…
AI safety forecasts are undermined by untestable assumptions about the nature of future AI agents, such as whether they will be humans, institutions, or hybrid collectives. These ontological commitmen…
A consultant for the AI Futures Project critiques the organization's AI 2040 scenario, arguing that its optimistic forecast format blurs the line between desirable outcomes and realistic projections, …
A new policy proposal called Plan A urges an international deal to delay superintelligence until 2040, enforce total research transparency, and allow multiple companies globally to scale safely togeth…