The Twilight of the Chatbots
AI capabilities are accelerating at a better-than-exponential rate, with frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google now able to autonomously complete software projects that would take human te…
AI capabilities are accelerating at a better-than-exponential rate, with frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google now able to autonomously complete software projects that would take human te…
Arena, an AI evaluation platform born at UC Berkeley, reached a $100M annual revenue run rate eight months after launching its product, as demand surges for benchmarks that measure real-world AI utili…
AI progress is driven primarily by massive amounts of domain-specific human expert data and reinforcement learning, not by architectural breakthroughs, creating a data black hole that powers model cap…
A new analysis using Epoch's ECI metric shows that open-weight AI models continue to trail closed models on the frontier, with the gap persisting over time. The analysis, based on item response theory…
Economists Alex Imas and Phil Trammell discuss the economic implications of artificial general intelligence, including optimal tax and redistribution policies, the potential for inequality, and what w…
Open-weight AI models now trail proprietary state-of-the-art systems by an average of four months in performance, according to Epoch's internal capability metric. The Epoch Capability Index, which agg…
Memory's share of AI chip component costs rose from 52% to 63% between Q1 2024 and Q4 2025, according to an analysis of Nvidia, AMD, Google, and Amazon chips. Total component spending on AI chips grew…