Formation Research, an AI safety research organization, is focusing on empirical secret loyalties research to address lock-in risks, prompted by Forethought's AI-enabled coups paper. The organization …
A new paper, 'The Bounded Parallelizability of R&D: Theory and Application to AI' by Philip Trammell, and an Epoch blog post argue that standard models of AI-driven technological singularity overlook …
The authors of AI 2040: Plan A rebut a criticism by Séb Krier, arguing that his characterization misrepresents their proposal and lacks substantive argumentation. They assert that Plan A is highly ite…
The AI Futures Project released AI 2040: Plan A and is calling for additional research into competing strategies for navigating the intelligence explosion, including indefinite halts, domestic-first r…
A new model estimates that a 10x reduction in R&D compute for an AGI company would slow AI progress by about 6x in the median case, with an 80% confidence interval of 3.5x to 8x. The model accounts fo…