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Tom Davidson

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10:04
2026-07-08
lesswrong.com
artificial-intelligence

How slower does takeoff go with 10ร— less compute?

A new model estimates that a 10x reduction in R&D compute for an AGI company would slow AI progress by about 6x in the median case, with an 80% confidence interval of 3.5x to 8x. The model accounts foโ€ฆ

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