The Long Doomsday of A.I.
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei proposed in an essay titled "We Must Pace the Frontier" that AI companies slow the rate of capabilities advancement so risk prevention can keep up, with external auditors co…
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei proposed in an essay titled "We Must Pace the Frontier" that AI companies slow the rate of capabilities advancement so risk prevention can keep up, with external auditors co…
Nate Soares, co-author of the 2025 bestseller "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" and president of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, called the legislative plan by Sen. Bernie Sanders and …
Daniel Kokotajlo, executive director of the AI Futures Project and former OpenAI governance researcher, predicts fully automated AI research by the end of 2028 and warns that recent rogue-AI incidents…
Political theorist Hélène Landemore of Yale University and the University of Oxford argues that AI governance must include ordinary citizens through deliberative processes such as citizens' assemblies…
Eli Lifland, a researcher at the AI Futures Project, discussed the organization's scenario AI 2027 on the AXRP podcast, stating that the project aims to provide a detailed, plausible narrative of AI d…
A writer on LessWrong argues that military unipolarity is likely within our lifetime and that AI development should be paused once it emerges, analyzing scenarios from the AI Futures Project's Plans S…
A state-backed Shanghai company has begun mass-producing China's first homegrown immersion DUV lithography machines, with about five units expected this year for SMIC, Hua Hong, and CXMT, and roughly …
The AI Futures Project's 'AI 2040: Plan A' proposes a normative scenario for managing powerful AIs, but lacks detail on international dispute resolution procedures, according to a critic. The plan inc…
A new interactive visual overview of the AI safety talent pipeline reveals significant "leaks" in the process of finding, training, and accelerating talented individuals to work on AI safety problems,…
The AI Futures Project authors argue in AI 2040: Plan A that the world should agree to an international AI-race slowdown treaty—an arms control deal—that advances alignment and control research while …
The AI Futures Project released AI 2040: Plan A and is calling for additional research into competing strategies for navigating the intelligence explosion, including indefinite halts, domestic-first r…
A critique of Plan A, an AI safety proposal by the AI Futures Project, warns that its strategy of pausing software progress while massively scaling compute could backfire, creating a dangerous 'dry ti…
The AI Futures Project released a detailed vision for international AI regulation centered on total research transparency, arguing that open access to all AI research would simplify governance and enf…
The AI Futures Project, led by former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, published a report titled 'AI 2040: Plan A' calling for US-China cooperation to slow AI development and delay superintelligenc…
A consultant for the AI Futures Project critiques the organization's AI 2040 scenario, arguing that its optimistic forecast format blurs the line between desirable outcomes and realistic projections, …
Daniel Kokotajlo and the AI Futures Project released Plan A, a policy roadmap for navigating the AI transition, proposing a joint US-China regulatory regime to prevent a poorly-controlled intelligence…
Yuval Harari released a handout outlining philanthropy principles and recommended three AI-focused charities: Karya, LawZero, and the AI Futures Project. The recommendations target ethical data work, …
AI researcher Nathan Witkin has challenged the validity of METR's widely-cited Long Tasks benchmark, arguing its methodology is fundamentally flawed despite its status as a leading indicator of AI cap…