Daniel Kokotajlo, in a 16 Mar 2026 article, argues that after frontier AI companies or governments hand off decision-making to AIs, progress may slow within weeks as AIs, aligned with human values, fe…
In a series of posts on LessWrong, AI researchers and leaders including Daniel Kokotajlo, Ryan Greenblatt, and Joe Carlsmith expressed high confidence in a hypothetical scenario referred to as 'P', wi…
Eli Lifland, a researcher at the AI Futures Project, discussed the organization's scenario AI 2027 on the AXRP podcast, stating that the project aims to provide a detailed, plausible narrative of AI d…
Daniel Kokotajlo, a former OpenAI employee, warns that AI companies are trapped in a competitive equilibrium where unilateral restraint only changes which company arrives first, not the catastrophic o…
Goodfire announced a private beta of Silico, its LLM training platform, and reproduced RLFR, a method using probes as reward signals for reinforcement learning. The announcement sparked debate on Twit…
OpenAI reversed its non-disparagement policy after former researcher Daniel Kokotajlo forfeited roughly $2 million in vested equity rather than agree to a lifelong non-disparagement clause. On May 23,…
OpenAI removed a non-disparagement clause from its exit paperwork after backlash, confirming no former employee would lose vested equity. Former researcher Daniel Kokotajlo forfeited approximately $2 …
Former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, who forfeited $2 million in equity to speak freely, warns there is a 70% chance AI leads to catastrophic loss of human control, with superintelligence possib…
The creators of the AI 2027 predictions, including Daniel Kokotajlo and Ryan Greenblatt, have released a new positive vision called Plan A, which proposes slowing AI development through a deal with Ch…
The AI Futures Project, led by former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, published a report titled 'AI 2040: Plan A' calling for US-China cooperation to slow AI development and delay superintelligenc…
The team behind AI 2027 released a new scenario called AI 2040: Plan A, offering a positive vision for navigating the creation of super-intelligence. The named authors include Thomas Larsen, Romeo Dea…
Daniel Kokotajlo and the AI Futures Project released Plan A, a policy roadmap for navigating the AI transition, proposing a joint US-China regulatory regime to prevent a poorly-controlled intelligence…
President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Tuesday requiring safety testing for frontier AI models before their public release, reversing his earlier decision to cancel the measure over conce…
A new analysis of AGI forecasts from leading researchers shows that timeline predictions have shifted in sync with whichever AI lab is currently dominant. From 2023 to 2025, most forecasters moved the…