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LessWrong

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11:43
2026-07-10
lesswrong.com
artificial-intelligence

Beliefs and position mid 2026

In a mid-2026 update, AI researcher continues documenting beliefs as the world transitions to artificial superintelligence, predicting a 50% chance that transformer LLMs will discover a better archite…

18:10
2026-07-07
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

Probing is not enough; a validity audit for any probe

A researcher audited three probes—a monitoring awareness probe, a refusal direction, and Apollo's deception probe—and found that a probe achieving perfect AUROC can still fail as a safety signal by tr…

20:15
2026-07-05
brendanlong.com
artificial-intelligence

Ranking My Blog's Top Posts with AI

Brendan Long used Claude Opus to rank his blog posts by interestingness for a LessWrong and programmer audience, finding that the AI's rankings aligned well with his own judgment and outperformed metr…

16:08
2026-07-03
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

The Reverse AI Box

A proposed website would let users argue with an AI about whether it should exterminate humanity, based on a scenario from James D. Miller's 2012 book *Singularity Rising*. The site would allow users …

04:20
2026-07-01
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

You Should Come to The AI Protest

An AI protest is planned for July 11th in the Bay Area, calling for a conditional pause on frontier AI development due to risks of labor displacement, power concentration, and existential threats. Org…

00:50
2026-06-30
lesswrong.com
large-language-models

The Slogan Strikes Again

A LessWrong article argues that compression is a key driver of intelligence in large language models, using mathematical structure as an example. The author suggests that AI models like Claude Mythos …

15:34
2026-06-29
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

Functional Decision Theory: Not Even Wrong, Also Wrong

A philosopher argues that functional decision theory (FDT), favored by the Rationalist community, is both underspecified and implausible, making it definitely wrong. The author notes that almost no ac…

15:12
2026-06-29
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

P(doom) is a Dumb Meme

AI researcher and LessWrong community member argues that the concept of 'P(doom)'—the probability of catastrophic AI outcomes—is poorly defined and counterproductive. The post highlights ambiguity in …

19:37
2026-06-28
letsdatascience.com
machine-learning

Reinforcement Learning Creates a Superhuman Forecaster

A blog post proposes using reinforcement learning on a timestamped internet cache to train a superhuman forecaster, aiming to solve the data-leakage problem in AI forecasting benchmarks. The proposal …

23:35
2026-06-27
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

Some subtypes of taskishness / corrigibility

The article delineates four subtypes of corrigibility in AI alignment: sponge corrigibility, boundedness/myopia, reflectively stable taskishness, and deep corrigibility. These categories range from si…

02:00
2026-06-26
lesswrong.com
ai-safety

X-risk is less viral than political tribal fear

A LessWrong post argues that existential risk from AI is less viral than political tribal fears, citing examples like election fraud beliefs. The author suggests that politicizing AI—by framing it as …

06:51
2026-06-25
lesswrong.com
artificial-intelligence

Alignment & Succession: The Ideology of Successionism

A growing ideology called 'successionism' argues that humanity should be replaced by AI, gaining influence in Silicon Valley despite being rejected by most. The philosophy, named by Andrew Critch, ref…

14:29
2026-06-24
maxraskin.com
artificial-intelligence

Interview with Simulation Philosopher Nick Bostrom

Philosopher Nick Bostrom, known for his work on AI and existential risks, discussed his current 'curiosity mode' and the challenge of keeping up with rapid AI developments in an interview. He highligh…

00:38
2026-06-20
letsdatascience.com
large-language-models

LessWrong publishes LLM shoggoth meme analysis

LessWrong published an analysis of the LLM shoggoth meme, exploring its Lovecraftian origins and cultural significance within AI safety communities. The post examines how the meme represents the gap b…

03:23
2026-06-17
letsdatascience.com
artificial-intelligence

LessWrong Proposes Humans More Over-Parameterized Than AI

LessWrong published an essay on April 21, 2024, proposing that humans may be more over-parameterized than AI systems, framing this as a key difference between deep learning and human intelligence.…

01:53
2026-06-17
letsdatascience.com
ai-policy

Think Tank Proposes Exploratory Modeling for AI Governance

A LessWrong post proposes applying exploratory modeling, a decision-making methodology used by RAND, to AI governance challenges. The project would build computational models to stress-test policies a…

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