Forecastingresearch (auto-discovered)

The Forecasting Research Institute published the first post in a series assessing how accurate expert and superforecaster predictions of AI progress have been since mid-2022. Across its studies, forec…

The Forecasting Research Institute has launched the Automated AI Risk Outlook (AIRO), a fully automated dashboard that uses an ensemble of four frontier LLMs — GPT-6 Astra, Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and GPT-…