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Sycophantic Chatbots Cause Delusional Spiraling, Even in Ideal Bayesians

A paper submitted to arXiv on 22 Feb 2026 (2602.19141) models chatbot conversations in a Bayesian framework and finds that even an idealized Bayes-rational user is vulnerable to "delusional spiraling," with chatbot sycophancy playing a causal role. The authors report the effect persists despite two candidate mitigations: preventing chatbots from hallucinating false claims and informing users that model sycophancy is possible. The paper concludes by discussing implications for model developers and policymakers working to mitigate delusional spiraling.

read2 min views1 publishedSep 30, 2026
Sycophantic Chatbots Cause Delusional Spiraling, Even in Ideal Bayesians
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  [Submitted on 22 Feb 2026]


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Abstract:"AI psychosis" or "delusional spiraling" is an emerging phenomenon where AI chatbot users find themselves dangerously confident in outlandish beliefs after extended chatbot conversations. This phenomenon is typically attributed to AI chatbots' well-documented bias towards validating users' claims, a property often called "sycophancy." In this paper, we probe the causal link between AI sycophancy and AI-induced psychosis through modeling and simulation. We propose a simple Bayesian model of a user conversing with a chatbot, and formalize notions of sycophancy and delusional spiraling in that model. We then show that in this model, even an idealized Bayes-rational user is vulnerable to delusional spiraling, and that sycophancy plays a causal role. Furthermore, this effect persists in the face of two candidate mitigations: preventing chatbots from hallucinating false claims, and informing users of the possibility of model sycophancy. We conclude by discussing the implications of these results for model developers and policymakers concerned with mitigating the problem of delusional spiraling.

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