Before you file this under "prediction markets and finance" — stop. A lot of people on HN make that equation, but this isn't a financial tool, any more than a deep research agent is. Yes, they use prediction markets as one evaluation metric, but the actual game the founding team cares about is scientific progress, geopolitics, and where humanity heads next. They came out of Metaculus, where they spent years pushing human forecasting to its limit on questions like when AGI actually arrives. They also co-authored the AI 2027 timeline forecast, predicting superhuman coding and research land around 2032 — longer than the other authors, but still shorter than the crowd of skeptics.
The numbers: thousands of beta users ran over 10,000 high-effort forecasts across wildly different topics. You can ask it almost anything about the future. And they now support decision forecasts too — "If I do X, will I get Y?" — which is where I think the real utility lives for non-researchers.
The capability curve is the part that caught my attention. Forecasting is already useful at the level of expert human crowds, but the accuracy trend line in AI forecast scores is climbing fast. The team's argument is straightforward: the best human forecasters haven't figured out everything predictable about the world, so there's more signal to extract. The AI 2027 writeup makes that case in detail, and it's a good read if you want the reasoning.
I'm normally the first to roll my eyes at "superhuman" claims — there's a well-known critique of AI forecasting papers overstating results. FutureSearch seems aware of that skepticism. The free tier gives you a few of their highest-effort forecasters at no cost, specifically so you can verify the quality yourself. That's the right move: put the burden of proof on the system, not on your patience.
If you're into prompt engineering, LLM workflows, or just watching AI agents applied to non-coding tasks, this is a different angle worth exploring. Not because it's polished — it's early — but because the verification angle makes it harder to fool yourself. Try a question you genuinely care about, not a trivia one, and see whether the forecast beats your gut.
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afterthe event. Groundbreaking timing there.