OpenAI's new Strategic Futures team, led by Dean, launched the AI Futures blog to address the concentration of power risks posed by transformative AI, arguing that advancements in autonomous systems a…
AI Futures, the research group behind the AI Futures Model, updated its AI timelines forecasts, slightly shortening them and expressing increased confidence due to improved modeling and evidence. The …
An AI forecaster predicts the U.S. government will force Anthropic to restrict Claude Fable to non-Americans, setting a major precedent for AI regulation. The analysis, using a proprietary world-model…
A new analysis of AGI forecasts from leading researchers shows that timeline predictions have shifted in sync with whichever AI lab is currently dominant. From 2023 to 2025, most forecasters moved the…