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Observationalepidemiology (auto-discovered)

11:30
2026-08-13
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
large-language-models

LLMs are not nothing.

A developer argues that large language models are a genuine technological leap, unlike the hype-driven metaverse and Web3, but criticizes the tech press for overhyping them. The piece specifically cal…

11:30
2026-08-07
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
artificial-intelligence

Not Enron, but not good either.

A developer highlights the growing disconnect between the massive capital expenditure and debt in the AI industry and realistic market estimates, citing Nvidia's credit default swap spike as a warning…

08:20
2026-07-30
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
artificial-intelligence

OpenAI, SoftBank, and Nvidia

A blog post criticizes recent analyses of the AI bubble, particularly a Semafor article by Elizabeth Hoffman and a Talking Points Memo piece by Josh Marshall, for misrepresenting the relationships bet…

11:30
2026-07-29
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
artificial-intelligence

Yesterday's Alarmism is Tomorrow's Consensus

Fitch Ratings has identified rising vulnerability to an AI-related market correction as a key short-term credit risk, citing the scale of the AI investment boom and its profound effects on real econom…

11:30
2026-07-22
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
artificial-intelligence

OpenAI needs to capture 1,852% of the total addressable market

OpenAI's projected ad revenue by 2030 is $100 billion annually, but a new analysis from Emarketer suggests the company is on pace to undershoot that by 90%, with the entire chatbot advertising market …

11:30
2026-07-08
observationalepidemiology.blogspot.com
artificial-intelligence

I probably should have worked in a Matrix reference

Carl Brown of Internet of Bugs examines the concept of Roko's Basilisk, a thought experiment from the LessWrong community that posits a future superintelligent AI could blackmail people from the futur…