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Latest poll shows tightening race for number two spot in California governor race

Democratic former Health Secretary Xavier Becerra leads California's governor race with 25% support, while a tight contest for second place has emerged between Republican Steve Hilton at 21% and Democrat Tom Steyer at 19%, according to a new Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll. The top two finishers in the June primary, regardless of party, will advance to the November general election. The poll of over 5,000 likely voters has a margin of error of about 2 percentage points.

read1 min publishedMay 29, 2026

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Trinity Audioplayer ready...The latest poll in California’s governor race shows Democratic former Health Secretary Xavier Becerra maintaining his lead and a tightening contest for second place between Republican former political commentator Steve Hilton and billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer.

The Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll showed Becerra with 25% support among likely voters, followed by Hilton with 21% and Steyer with 19%. The two candidates who receive the most votes, regardless of party affiliation, will compete against each other in the November general election.

“This has been a wide-open and very unusual race,” IGS co-director Eric Schickler said in a statement about the poll. “While voter preferences have clarified some since our last poll, there is still a fair amount of uncertainty about which of the top three candidates will make the November ballot. Much now depends on turnout and whether those who prefer one of the lower polling candidates end up tilting toward one of the polling leaders.”

The poll was conducted May 19-24 among more than 5,000 likely California voters, with a margin of error of about 2 percentage points.

The poll showed support for Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco at 11%, former Democratic Rep. Katie Porter at 7% and Democratic San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan at 4%.

None of the 46 other candidates listed on the June primary election ballot and who were included in the latest poll received more than 1% support, while 7% of voters did not offer a preference, the poll found.

Check back for updates to this developing story.

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