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AI disruption in private credit: exposure to software firms in BDCs (BIS)

Business development companies (BDCs) have lent approximately $115 billion to software firms, representing a fifth of their total lending and over 80% of their technology portfolios, according to a Bank for International Settlements bulletin. The revenue uncertainty from generative AI has not yet affected these loans, but recent narrowing of credit spreads has reduced buffers to absorb potential losses, while low leverage and secured lending may limit spillovers.

read1 min views1 publishedJul 16, 2026
AI disruption in private credit: exposure to software firms in BDCs (BIS)
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BIS Bulletin | No 128 |

14 July 2026

Key takeaways

  • Business development companies (BDCs) have lent around $115 billion to software firms, which represents about a fifth of all their lending and over 80% of their fast-growing technology portfolios.
  • Borrowers' revenue uncertainty posed by generative artificial intelligence has not affected these loans yet, and neither BDCs nor their equity investors have priced software exposure differently.
  • Recently, credit spreads have narrowed, reducing the buffers to absorb losses, and a few large BDCs are exposed to a shared pool of borrowers, though low leverage and secured lending may limit spillovers.

The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.

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