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American Trends Panel

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20:02
2026-10-02
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

Weekly: 10.3.26

Pew Research Center found that AI-generated "synthetic" respondents failed to reproduce results from three human surveys drawn from its American Trends Panel, with the errors especially pronounced for…

17:55
2026-09-30
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

Appendix B: Additional tables

A Pew Research Center analysis found that OpenAI's GPT-5.1 and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 each matched real American Trends Panel survey data within 5.0 percentage points on only a subset of question…

17:55
2026-09-30
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

How synthetic polling results change based on the AI model

Pew Research Center found that synthetic survey samples generated by OpenAI's GPT-5.1 and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 both failed to replicate human polling results from its American Trends Panel, wit…

17:55
2026-09-30
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

Synthetic surveys and ‘timely and topical’ questions

Pew Research Center found that AI-generated synthetic surveys failed to track real shifts in U.S. public opinion, estimating President Donald Trump's approval at a flat 46% in both January and April 2…

17:55
2026-09-30
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

How synthetic respondents express certainty and factual knowledge

Pew Research Center found that synthetic survey respondents built on large language models selected explicit "not sure" options just 4% of the time, versus 16% for human panelists on its American Tren…

17:55
2026-09-30
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

How well synthetic samples replicate public opinion

AI-generated synthetic survey respondents differed from real human poll results by an average of 12 percentage points across three American Trends Panel waves, according to a Pew Research Center evalu…

17:55
2026-09-30
pewresearch.org
artificial-intelligence

Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really

Pew Research Center found that AI-generated survey respondents differed from human American Trends Panel respondents by an average of 12 percentage points across nearly 300 individual survey questions…

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