# You can now predict anything bruh > Source: > Published: 2026-09-17 19:29:09+00:00 ### **Where It Started: Careful Tech** At the start of this year, I became fixated on one question: how do we help people make better decisions? My first answer was scam prevention. This wasn't random. My Caribbean community got targeted by scammers who used my online videos to run fake giveaways and investment schemes. That experience is what pushed me to build something. (If you want the full backstory, go through my [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/onemarkos) bio and experience). So I built Careful, an AI assistant that flags scams, surfaces the most relevant red flags, predicts the most likely outcome, and tells you what to do next. A couple thousand people tried it. The problem was retention, not interest. People only think about scams after they've already been scammed. By then, Careful can't help them; they need prevention *before* the moment, not a tool they remember to check. ### **The Pivot To Build Prior** That experience taught me something important: the real product wasn't scam detection. It was the prediction engine running underneath it. After several iterations, I rebuilt that engine into something much bigger. That became [Prior](https://prior.chat/). [Prior](https://prior.chat/) helps you anticipate anything. It pulls in relevant context, runs simulations, and gives you the most likely outcomes, weighted by probability. The goal isn't to guess. It's to give you the clearest possible picture of what's likely to happen *before* it happens. **My long-term goal is straightforward: build the most powerful predictive intelligence in existence.** ### **How People Are Actually Using It** I expected some use cases. Others surprised me. **The obvious ones:** - Predicting outcomes in sports betting - Forecasting price direction in crypto and stocks - Forecasting big cultural moments: a lot of Americans are running predictions on the 2027 Super Bowl and the 2028 presidential election **And yes, scam detection is still in there.** You can use [Prior](https://prior.chat/) to predict if an opportunity is a scam and the most accurate outcomes if engaged. **The ones I didn't expect:** - Career decisions - Diet and health choices - Relationships, including whether a partner is likely to cheat, or someone's odds of finding love **The one that stuck with me most:** someone used [Prior](https://prior.chat/) to estimate their survival odds for an illness based on different treatment paths. ### **Where We Draw the Line** Predictions about health, money, and relationships are sensitive by nature. Because of that, we've tightened our terms of use. Prior does not promise or guarantee outcomes, and it does not offer financial, medical, legal, or betting advice. What it does offer is weighted, probability-based outcomes built from strong data sources, relevant context, and simulation. These predictions exist to support research and give you a clearer basis for making your own decisions, not to replace your judgment. ### **What's Next** I'm improving the platform every week, expanding what it can handle and sharpening how accurate it gets. The potential of predictive intelligence goes far beyond individual use. Governments, enterprises, and everyday people could all benefit from being able to anticipate outcomes before committing resources. A few examples of where this could go: - Predicting how an ad campaign will perform before spending a single dollar - Assessing whether a candidate is the right hire before making an offer - Modeling the likely effects of a new law or policy before it passes - Forecasting who wins the next election, and what that outcome would mean ### **The Question I Keep Coming Back To** If you could truly anticipate anything, what would it allow you to do? How would it change the decisions you make? Would it change your life for better or worse? That's the question driving Prior. You can try it yourself at [www.prior.chat](https://prior.chat/) I'd genuinely like to know what you think, whether it impresses you or not. Let me know either way.