Checking OpenAI...
API or Codex downtime and issues raise the odds.
NEXT 48 HOURS
Checking the live OpenAI status feed.
RECENT MOVEMENT
Connecting to the incident desk...
UNOFFICIAL QUOTA METEOROLOGY
A weather report for the brief, strange window between ordinary usage and unexpected generosity.
PREDICTION SIGNALS
We check public clues, read the tea leaves, and watch for launch confetti. It is not quite science, but it does have a cooldown timer.
API or Codex downtime and issues raise the odds.
Team vagueposting raises the odds.
Potential releases, parties, and events raise the odds.
A recent reset lowers the odds of another immediate refill.
The forecast watches API or Codex issues, OpenAI team vagueposting, potential product releases, and OpenAI events. It is a transparent heuristic, not a serious statistical model.