# Why wages and productivity look set to diverge further

> Source: <https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinion-features/why-wages-and-productivity-look-set-diverge-further>
> Published: 2026-07-27 06:08:30+00:00

# Why wages and productivity look set to diverge further

AI and a falling labour share of GDP risk accelerating decoupling trends across the rich world

PRODUCTIVITY growth is pretty much all that matters in the long run. Without innovations and new technologies – many of which we now take for granted, such as clothes and flushable toilets – life would be nasty, brutish and short. Indeed, for most humans throughout history, their time on Earth was something resembling that.

According to economic theory, productivity and real wages should grow in tandem, with the benefits of new technology being shared with the workers who produce the stuff. But in the US, Europe and Japan, pay growth has decoupled from productivity growth, with the latter having pulled ahead.

In the US, wage and productivity growth were tightly linked at least since 1947, when official records began, until around 1970, when pay started to fall behind. In recent years, the [gap has widened](https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/us-productivity-slows-fourth-quarter) into a chasm.

[TRENDING NOW](/pulse?ref=trending-now)

UOB CEO’s youngest child Grant Wee turns burnout into a wellness business

Wanted: 100 AI specialists, 100 wealth relationship managers at HSBC Singapore

China chipmaker CXMT jumps 472% in debut after US$9.8 billion IPO

Temasek should publicly state its position on the long-rumoured CapitaLand-Mapletree merger
