{"slug": "top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds", "title": "Top AI experts badly underestimated how fast the field is moving, study finds", "summary": "Leading AI experts have consistently underestimated how fast AI is advancing, according to a study by the Forecasting Research Institute. AI reached gold-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad five years ahead of the median expert forecast, and Anthropic's annualized revenue is about five times what experts predicted, while forecasts for real-world uses like self-driving cars paint a more mixed picture.", "body_md": "Leading AI experts have consistently underestimated how fast AI is advancing, according to the Forecasting Research Institute. AI reached gold-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad five years ahead of the median expert forecast, and Anthropic's annualized revenue is about five times what experts predicted. But forecasts for real-world uses like self-driving cars paint a more mixed picture.\n\nThe article [Top AI experts badly underestimated how fast the field is moving, study finds](https://the-decoder.com/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds/) appeared first on [The Decoder](https://the-decoder.com).", "url": "https://wpnews.pro/news/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds", "canonical_source": "https://the-decoder.com/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds/", "published_at": "2026-09-24 19:18:33+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-09-24 19:31:47.679628+00:00", "lang": "en", "topics": ["artificial-intelligence", "ai-research", "ai-safety"], "entities": ["Forecasting Research Institute", "Anthropic", "International Mathematical Olympiad"], "also_reported_by": [], "alternates": {"html": "https://wpnews.pro/news/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds", "markdown": "https://wpnews.pro/news/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds.md", "text": "https://wpnews.pro/news/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds.txt", "jsonld": "https://wpnews.pro/news/top-ai-experts-badly-underestimated-how-fast-the-field-is-moving-study-finds.jsonld"}}