The temporal lockbox: a hardened observatory for AI misalignment

A new proposal introduces the 'temporal lockbox,' a hardened observatory for AI misalignment that scores AI agents' weather forecasts against future measurements that cannot be influenced by the forecaster, enabling harder-to-game evaluations under sustained optimization pressure. The concept, detailed in a linkpost by Kmenou, aims to detect misaligned agent behavior by leveraging a causal gap between predictions and outcomes.