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The Illusion of Thinking: Models Don't Actually Reason

A paper posted to arXiv on 7 June 2025 and revised to v3 on 20 November 2025 by Parshin Shojaee and co-authors finds that Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) suffer a complete accuracy collapse beyond certain problem complexities, using controllable puzzle environments that allow precise manipulation of complexity while holding logical structure constant. The authors report a counterintuitive scaling limit: LRM reasoning effort rises with problem complexity up to a point, then declines even with remaining token budget, and they identify three regimes — standard LLMs outperform LRMs on low-complexity tasks, LRMs hold an advantage at medium complexity, and both collapse at high complexity. The paper also finds LRMs fail to use explicit algorithms for exact computation and reason inconsistently across scales, raising questions about their reasoning capabilities.

read3 min views8 publishedOct 29, 2026
The Illusion of Thinking: Models Don't Actually Reason
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  [Submitted on 7 Jun 2025 (

[v1](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.06941v1)), last revised 20 Nov 2025 (this version, v3)]

[View PDF](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.06941)

[HTML (experimental)](https://arxiv.org/html/2506.06941v3)

Abstract:Recent generations of language models have introduced Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) that generate detailed thinking processes before providing answers. While these models demonstrate improved performance on reasoning benchmarks, their fundamental capabilities, scaling properties, and limitations remain insufficiently understood. Current evaluations primarily focus on established math and coding benchmarks, emphasizing final answer accuracy. However, this evaluation paradigm often suffers from contamination and does not provide insights into the reasoning traces. In this work, we systematically investigate these gaps with the help of controllable puzzle environments that allow precise manipulation of complexity while maintaining consistent logical structures. This setup enables the analysis of not only final answers but also the internal reasoning traces, offering insights into how LRMs think. Through extensive experiments, we show that LRMs face a complete accuracy collapse beyond certain complexities. Moreover, they exhibit a counterintuitive scaling limit: their reasoning effort increases with problem complexity up to a point, then declines despite having remaining token budget. By comparing LRMs with their standard LLM counterparts under same inference compute, we identify three performance regimes: (1) low-complexity tasks where standard models outperform LRMs, (2) medium-complexity tasks where LRMs demonstrates advantage, and (3) high-complexity tasks where both models face complete collapse. We found that LRMs have limitations in exact computation: they fail to use explicit algorithms and reason inconsistently across scales. We also investigate the reasoning traces in more depth, studying the patterns of explored solutions and analyzing the models' computational behavior, shedding light on their strengths, limitations, and raising questions about their reasoning capabilities.

Submission history #

From: Parshin Shojaee [
[view email](https://arxiv.org/show-email/cd7ce501/2506.06941)]

**Sat, 7 Jun 2025 22:42:29 UTC (12,102 KB)**

[\[v1\]](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.06941v1)
**Fri, 18 Jul 2025 04:14:22 UTC (11,640 KB)**

[\[v2\]](https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.06941v2)
**[v3]** Thu, 20 Nov 2025 00:19:24 UTC (11,960 KB)

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