SPOTting the Future: Lookahead Explanations for Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2608.09967v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) agents achieve strong performance in complex environments, yet their decision-making processes remain difficult to interpret. We introduce SPOT (Sampling Policy Observation Tree), a novel model-agnostic, sampling-based framework for interpreting DRL policies. Given access to the policy and an environment simulator, SPOT constructs an interpretable finite-horizon tree by sampling actions and recursively simulating the resulting successor states. The tree provides an empirical representation of the policy's action preferences and their possible downstream evolution. We provide formal guarantees establishing SPOT's asymptotic recovery of the policy's unique most probable action and characterizing its disagreement behavior under high-entropy policies. We demonstrate SPOT in the SUMO-RL traffic-signal control domain. The case study illustrates how its tree-based representation can be used to inspect policy preferences, compare alternative future trajectories, and reveal downstream behaviors that are not visible through single-timestep feature-attribution methods.