Simplicity Paradox: Debunking myths about prompting and datasets for LLM evaluation

arXiv:2607.14109v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probing the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) and building robust solutions for Multiple-Choice Question Answering (MCQA) remain central challenges in natural language understanding. Furthermore, the rapid proliferation of LLMs has created the implicit assumption that more sophisticated prompting techniques yield better performance. Several studies claim better performance with more sophisticated prompting techniques, but do not provide a comprehensive evaluation. We address this gap through a comprehensive empirical study of 8 prompting techniques across 10 multiple-choice question answering (MCQA) datasets, encompassing 27 model configurations and roughly 4,300 unique questions evaluated more than 430,000 times. Our findings reveal a striking paradox that baseline prompting consistently outperforms complex reasoning techniques on various benchmarks. Only minimal expert and inductive role framing (CoT-Expert and CoT-Inductive) yields a small but statistically significant $\sim$3 percentage-point (pp) gain over baseline whereas every other elaborate technique we tested matches or under-performs it, often by large margins (up to 31~pp for Self-Analogical). We further investigate three critical phenomena: (1) the unexpected victory of Qwen3-30B-A3B-Thinking-2507 in Elo ratings, (2) the performance-efficiency trade-offs across model variants with different thinking budgets, revealing model-dependent optimal configurations, and (3) the substantial variation in dataset difficulty, with 60% of benchmarks below 70% accuracy and a 47.5~pp spread from easiest to hardest, indicating considerable room for model improvement. These results suggest that the LLM evaluation community may be overcomplicating prompt engineering and that substantial performance gaps remain across diverse benchmarks, offering opportunities for genuine model improvements rather than prompt optimization.