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Show HN: Running 104GB Qwen3.8-Flash-Next on 48GB Mac with at ~12 tok/s

Slotstream, a new Swift binary, lets users run the 104 GB Qwen3.8-Flash-Next model on a 48 GB Mac at about 12 tokens per second by streaming weights from SSD, with peak memory of 32 GB and a cold start to first token in about 3 seconds. The tool, which supports Ollama and OpenAI chat/generate endpoints, requires about 110 GB free disk space and is available for Apple Silicon Macs running macOS 14 or later, with downloads from Hugging Face taking 30–50 minutes on connections of 400 Mbps or faster.

read8 min views1 publishedSep 1, 2026
Show HN: Running 104GB Qwen3.8-Flash-Next on 48GB Mac with at ~12 tok/s
Image: Michielbdejong (auto-discovered)

Run Qwen3.8-Flash-Next on a Mac that cannot hold it. The model is 104 GB at 4-bit; slotstream streams it from SSD and runs it in whatever memory you give it, down to an 8.1 GB planned floor. One Swift binary with the commonly used Ollama and OpenAI chat/generate endpoints.

on a 48 GB Mac
Warm decode ~12 tok/s
Cold start to first token ~3 s
Peak memory 32 GB (auto-sized; you can cap it)
Weights on disk 104 GB

Disk is the gate that bites first. You need ~110 GB free, so a 512 GB Mac is the realistic minimum however much memory it has. The weights are a one-time 104 GB download: well under an hour on a fast connection, several hours on a slow one (table below).

memory expect
8 GB below the 8.1 GB floor; doctor warns that it will page
16 GB ~5 tok/s estimated
24 GB ~8 tok/s estimated
32 GB ~10 tok/s estimated
48 GB and up ~12 tok/s β€” and auto stops at 33 GB here, so the rest of the machine stays yours

Only the 48 GB row is measured on real hardware; the rest come from the same measured curve, and smaller Macs also have slower SSDs. Run slotstream doctor

to see what your machine would get, and whether you have the disk for the weights, before down anything.

curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/carloslfu/slotstream/main/install.sh | sh

Installs a prebuilt binary to ~/.slotstream/bin

and puts it on your PATH. Needs Apple Silicon and macOS 14+. Re-run the same line to upgrade; uninstall with rm -rf ~/.slotstream

.

Releases are built by CI from the tagged commit with signed provenance, so you can check an asset yourself rather than trusting the download:

gh attestation verify slotstream-arm64.tar.gz --repo carloslfu/slotstream

Or build it yourself β€” Command Line Tools are enough, no Xcode needed:

git clone https://github.com/carloslfu/slotstream && cd slotstream
make build

The binary is small; the weights are not. 103.8 GB across 24 files, one time. serve

and run

offer the download on first run, and slotstream pull

does it on its own:

slotstream serve

Either way it prints the size, the destination and your free disk and waits for a yes before transferring anything, and it refuses outright if the disk cannot hold it.

Hugging Face is the bottleneck, not your link. Past four connections it plateaus: 4, 8, 16 and 32 all landed in the same 36 to 57 MB/s band, and so did hf_xet

, Hugging Face's own fastest client, while the same link did 134 MB/s to an ordinary host. So past roughly 400 Mbps, more bandwidth buys nothing:

your connection wait
400 Mbps or faster 30–50 min β€” Hugging Face's day, not your link
200 Mbps ~1 h 10
100 Mbps ~2 h 20
50 Mbps ~4 h 40
25 Mbps ~9 h

A real install here took 35 min; the top row is wide because Hugging Face's own throughput moved between sessions. The rows below it are arithmetic over 103.8 GB at your full rated speed, so treat them as best cases.

Interrupting is safe: it resumes at the exact byte it stopped on, and all 24 files are checked against sha256 hashes compiled into the binary, so a truncated, same-size, or corrupted download cannot reach the engine. pull --verify

re-hashes an existing copy in under 10 s β€” 7.7 s here, hashed in parallel.

serve

listens on port 11434 and implements the chat/generate subset used by Ollama clients and OpenAI SDKs:

curl localhost:11434/api/chat -d '{
  "model": "qwen3.8-flash-next:4bit",
  "messages": [{"role": "user", "content": "hello"}]
}'
OLLAMA_HOST=http://localhost:11434 ollama run qwen3.8-flash-next:4bit

Open WebUI, the Ollama CLI, and the OpenAI SDKs are tested for this subset. Streaming, CORS, and the usual sampling options (temperature

, top_p

, top_k

, min_p

, presence_penalty

, seed

, num_predict

, stop

) are all supported. Unsupported semantics such as tools, images, JSON-schema output, logprobs, and alternate model names return a clear 400 instead of being silently ignored.

Follow-up turns in a conversation only prefill what is new, so time to first token stays flat as a chat grows β€” measured over eight turns, 6.0 s instead of climbing to 25.8 s. One consequence worth knowing: reusing that state is not bit-identical to recomputing it, so a reply can occasionally differ where two tokens were nearly tied. --no-prefix-cache

turns it off if you need exact reproducibility.

Prompt plus completion is capped at 32,768 tokens (--max-context

). Long prompts are the slow axis: prefill runs at roughly 50 tok/s on a 16 GB Mac and 125 on a 48 GB one, so an 8,000-token prompt waits somewhere between about a minute and about three before its first token. A per-user lock enforces one model process at a time.

With no flags slotstream sizes itself to your machine and tells you what it chose. This is a 48 GB Mac β€” it reads 52 GB because everything here counts in decimal GB, while Apple markets the same memory as 48:

slotstream memory plan (auto)
  device: 52 GB RAM (36.0 GB reclaimable now), 40.2 GB Metal working set
  target: 33.0 GB total for this process   (override: --memory-gb N | --max-ram-percent P)
  cache:  ~152 of 512 experts per layer  (7280 global slots = 20.1 GB pool)
  expect: ~32.0 GB peak, ~12 tok/s warm decode (est. from M5 Pro anchors)
  prefill: 4096 tokens per pass (~125 tok/s here; costs ~5.3 GB of the target)
  reuse:  up to 32768 tokens across 4 conversations (~1.2 GB), so a follow-up turn re-prefills only what is new

It takes the lowest of three limits: 33 GB, 70% of RAM, and the Metal working-set limit, and it sizes down further when other apps are actually holding memory rather than swapping them out.

33 GB is the interesting one. It is not politeness, it is the knee: the smallest target where the expert cache clears the decode plateau and the budget still affords the fast 4,096-token prefill pass. Swept a GB at a time, nothing between 34 and 84 GB improves either number. So a 64 GB or 128 GB Mac asks for the same 33 GB a 48 GB Mac does β€” the extra would buy nothing, and doctor

says so rather than leaving you to wonder. It also stays elastic while running: it re-checks every 15 s and resizes the cache between requests, shrinking under pressure and growing back once things are calm. Output is byte-identical across resizes.

--max-ram-percent P

moves the 70% share without you having to work out the GB. The other two limits still apply, so it can lower the target but not raise it past the knee.

Three flags replace auto outright, first one wins, and any of them will go past 33 GB if you want to try it β€” full expert residency (all 512 per layer, so no routed-expert SSD reads; n-gram rows still stream) needs about 88 GB and has never been measured:

--memory-gb G

β€” total memory for the process. Minimum 8.1.--experts-per-layer N

β€” cache size directly, of the model's 512. Each costs 0.133 GB.--pool-gb G

β€” raw pool size.

slotstream doctor

prints the plan any of these would produce, --sim-ram

/ --sim-available

preview a different machine entirely, and --json

emits the plan for scripts with the estimates unrounded.

Almost all of the model's bytes sit in two places: 68 GB of routed experts (512 per layer, 10 active per token) and a 32 GB n-gram table. The dense trunk is only 3.8 GB and stays resident. Experts are read with pread

into a fixed pool of cache slots shared by all 48 layers, so hot layers borrow slots from cold ones.

Cache size changes speed, never output. Greedy decoding is byte-identical between a 4 GB cache and a 24 GB one, and that equivalence is a standing test.

Why not just mmap the file? MLX cannot materialize part of a memory-mapped tensor: a top-10 expert gather evaluates all 512 experts of that layer, and a 16-row n-gram lookup evaluates the whole 250 MB shard, so an mmap path loads ~100 GB and dies. The stock mlx_lm.load()

route took this 48 GB machine into 48 GB of swap without producing a token.

Working, and measured on one machine β€” an M5 Pro with 48 GB. The smaller tiers are derived from its curve, not run on real 16 GB hardware.

Known gaps:

Long prompts are slow to start. Everything in the prompt is processed before the first token appears. Prefill is ~10x faster per token than generation (~113 tok/s against ~11), but you pay it for every prompt token up front: a 15-token prompt starts in under 2 s, an 8,000-token one takes about 70. Within a conversation you only pay it once β€” follow-up turns reuse the previous state. Compute is now the bulk of that time, and closing it means a grouped-GEMM kernel.macOS 14 and 15 have only had the installer exercised, not the runtime.

PLAN.md has the design and the milestone tracker; MEASUREMENTS.md has every number here with its method, including the experiments that failed.

Tools/verify.sh

is the acceptance battery β€” 81 checks covering weight provenance, goldens against a version-matched Python reference, planner behaviour across simulated machines, byte-equality across cache sizes and live resizes, the --memory-gb

promise, and a serving-robustness suite of inputs that used to crash the server.

Tools/e2e_release.sh

runs 31 more against the installed binary from curl | sh

, which is the thing users actually get.

The parts that need no weights (planner, sampler vs a numpy reference, governor policy, API robustness) run in CI on every release build.

MIT. Sources/SlotstreamCore/Vendored/GatedDelta.swift

is ported from mlx-swift-lm (MIT), and Tools/reference/

vendors the community qwen4_exp.py

used as the test oracle. Weights come from pipenetwork/Qwen3.8-Flash-Next-MLX-4bit and remain under the Qwen community license.

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