A new paper argues that recursive self-improvement (RSI) is not on the horizon because current AI agents cannot conduct open-ended machine learning research. The study tested agents on accepted but unpublished NeurIPS papers, finding they could not complete the open-ended research tasks. The finding matters because RSI is a central concern in AI safety and capability forecasting.
A new paper (I'm not a coauthor BTW -- I just found it interesting) argues, basically, that RSI is not on the horizon, because current (at the time the study was done) agents cannot do open-ended ML research. Specifically, they took some accepted, but unpublished papers from NeurIPS, and tried to ge
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