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Randomness in large language models: What researchers need to know (and report)

A new study from researchers in economics warns that large language model (LLM) outputs should be treated as draws from a distribution rather than fixed measurements, due to randomness from deliberate sampling, silent model updates, numerical rounding, or expert routing. The authors illustrate these issues through sentiment classifications of corporate filings and propose a reporting standard for articles and replication packages to improve reproducibility.

read2 min views1 publishedJul 28, 2026
Randomness in large language models: What researchers need to know (and report)
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[Submitted on 27 Jul 2026]


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Abstract:Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to generate data for research. Typical use cases are classifications, annotations, information extraction, and generation of numerical scores. Unlike conventional measurements, LLM outputs can vary across repeated requests even when the prompt and apparent model settings remain unchanged. This variation arises from deliberate sampling, silent model updates, numerical rounding, or expert routing. Setting a dedicated temperature parameter to zero removes deliberate sampling when that option is available, but it does not eliminate the other sources of randomness. Exact reproduction is therefore generally not possible when using proprietary application programming interfaces. Local execution of open-weight models offers greater control, but reproducibility still depends on the complete hardware and software stack. We illustrate these issues through sentiment classifications of corporate filings and examine their consequences for downstream regression results. We then propose a reporting standard for articles and replication packages, as well as guidance for data editors and authors. Together, these findings and recommendations establish that LLM outputs should be treated as draws from a distribution rather than as fixed measurements.

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