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Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%

ARC Prize reported that the cost to reach 75% accuracy on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95% over 19 months, from $26 per task with o3-preview to $0.01 per task with DeepSeek V4 Flash. On ARC-AGI-2, ARC Prize said the cost fell 99.44% in just 6 months, from $13.62 per task with Gemini 3 Deep Think to $0.08 per task with Dots3-Note Preview. ARC Prize added that at a given level of performance, AI cost has fallen roughly 47% per quarter since 2023, which it said is 4x faster than DNA sequencing, 6x faster than compute, 18x faster than lithium batteries, and up to 54x faster than something through 1973.

read1 min views2 publishedOct 2, 2026
Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%
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ARC Prize on X: "Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%: from o3-preview at $26/task to DeepSeek V4 Flash at $0.01/task. On ARC-AGI-2, it fell 99.44% in just 6 months: from Gemini 3 Deep Think at $13.62/task to Dots3-Note Preview at $0.08/task." / X

ARC Prize on X: "Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%: from o3-preview at $26/task to DeepSeek V4 Flash at $0.01/task. On ARC-AGI-2, it fell 99.44% in just 6 months: from Gemini 3 Deep Think at $13.62/task to Dots3-Note Preview at $0.08/task."

Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%: from o3-preview at $26/task to DeepSeek V4 Flash at $0.01/task. On ARC-AGI-2, it fell 99.44% in just 6 months: from Gemini 3 Deep Think at $13.62/task to Dots3-Note Preview at $0.08/task.

Over the course of 19 months, the cost to reach 75% on ARC-AGI-1 fell 99.95%: from o3-preview at $26/task to DeepSeek V4 Flash at $0.01/task. On ARC-AGI-2, it fell 99.44% in just 6 months: from Gemini 3 Deep Think at $13.62/task to Dots3-Note Preview at $0.08/task.

AI is getting cheaper more quickly than any other transformative tech in history. At a given level of performance, cost has fallen ~47%/quarter since 2023. That’s 4× faster than DNA sequencing, 6× faster than compute, 18× faster than lithium batteries, and (up to 1973) 54× Show more

source & further reading
twitter.com — original article
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