OpenAI's AGI Eras Tour

OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman declared at a press briefing that the launch of GPT-6 Astra marks the arrival of the 'AGI era,' though he acknowledged AGI remains a 'gray, fuzzy thing' and is now a 'mission concept or spiritual concept' rather than a contractual trigger. The model, trained on more than 100,000 GPUs at OpenAI's Stargate site in Texas, is the company's largest training run to date and the first where earlier models supervised the training process.

OpenAI's AGI Eras Tour It’s a question as old as time. Or at least as old as Terminator 2 . Is AGI here? With the launch https://www.techmeme.com/260903/p33?ref=spyglass.org a260903p33 today of ' GPT-6 Astra https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1QNsdr-Qx I&ref=spyglass.org ', yes , says OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman. Well, yes-ish. As Frederic Lardinois reports for The New Stack https://thenewstack.io/openai-gpt6-astra-benchmarks/?ref=spyglass.org : During a press briefing ahead of the launch, OpenAI President Greg Brockman took things a bit further than the benchmarks, though. After acknowledging that AGI remains a “gray, fuzzy thing,” he suggested future observers might look back at Astra as the model that marked its arrival. “I think it’s not unreasonable to feel that we are now in the AGI era,” Brockman said. Asked whether OpenAI was formally declaring that it had achieved AGI, he said the term was no longer tied to a contractual trigger referring to its earlier agreement with Microsoft and described it instead as a “mission concept or spiritual concept.” He closed the briefing with: “Welcome to the AGI era.” It's settled then. We can all agree that no one could ever agree https://spyglass.org/agi-definition/ on an actual definition of "AGI" – not even Microsoft and OpenAI despite it insanely being https://spyglass.org/openai-microsoft-stake-pbc/ a key contractual agreement – so Brockman is essentially calling it what it has become: a marketing https://spyglass.org/ai-agi-superintelligence/ term. And so what's the downside in using it to your marketing advantage? Absolutely nothing So we're here, baby. The singularity https://x.com/tobi/status/2095600446559662168?ref=spyglass.org . AGI. CGI. CSI: Miami. It's all happening. Honestly, it's a bit disappointing to see OpenAI be so flippant here. Yes, the term was way too loaded, but that was in no small part OpenAI's own fault over the past many years https://spyglass.org/agi-or-bust/ – including, yes, due to 'The Clause' with Microsoft https://spyglass.org/the-openai-microsoft-agi-clause/ . Declaring it now to the press alongside the release of a new model, even if you try to couch your comments, makes it seem like the whole world is going to change overnight. Every headline is going to be that quote. "Welcome to the AGI era." And the reality is that nothing is going to change overnight. And such proclamations are not going to help the growing AI backlash https://spyglass.org/ai-luddites/ AGI is here and my computer still can't automatically get https://spyglass.org/the-swiss-assistant/ my mom home from the airport? That's not to say all the progress in AI isn't amazing – it is – but this declaration undercuts the actual work https://spyglass.org/thoughts-on-back-to-the-frontier-ai-races-netflix-out-youtubes-youtube/ here. Back to Lardinois: According to OpenAI’s Aidan Clark. Astra was OpenAI’s largest training run to date. “It’s the first time we’ve pre-trained on more than 100,000 GPUs at our Stargate site in Texas,” he said. Clark also noted that Astra is the first OpenAI model release where earlier models played a significant role in supervising the training process. Yes, that's a reference to the other mythical acronym https://spyglass.org/ai-frontier-race/ here: RSI https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recursive self-improvement?ref=spyglass.org . If that work keeps up and accelerates, it's arguably far more important than an AGI declaration. That could be actual AI takeoff https://spyglass.org/inklings-ai-overkill-anthropic-walks-back-siri-ai-just-works-elons-diamond-hands-apple-tv-is-hbo-openais-rsi-clause-siri-is-not-dtf/ :~:text=M.G.%20Siegler-,I%20Quote...,-%22The%20faster%20the . Which is equal parts exciting and terrifying https://spyglass.org/what-if-anthropic-is-right/ . Anyway, it's interesting that both Brockman and Sam Altman https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VeizK1M7V7E&ref=spyglass.org are trying to frame this moment in hindsight already. That we'll look back upon today and think this is the moment when AGI was here. Maybe, but honestly probably not. Because as good as Astra may be, it's not clear https://spyglass.org/agi-is-here-and-will-never-be-here/ that there will be some sort of singular moment in time where everything changed with AI. That sounds like something that happens in movies. Previously, on Spyglass ...