Interaction terms and input replay in causal inference

Konjugate's causal inference tool now supports interaction terms and input replay, enabling models to represent relationships where the effect depends on multiple variables jointly, such as predator-prey dynamics or mass-action chemistry, and to replay exact recorded values for any mapped column. The update, described in a blog post, allows users to check an 'includes interaction term' option to recover true multiplicative structures like 0.8 × columnA × columnB, and to mark columns as inputs to replay their exact values, dropping fitted edges to avoid double-counting. These features extend the existing review dialog without changing the import or mapping workflow.

" Recovering structure from data https://www.konjugate.com/2026/08/recovering-structure-from-data.html " covered the basics of causal inference: import a CSV, review candidate relationships, commit the ones worth keeping. Two more options have since shown up in that same review dialog, each extending what a committed model can represent rather than changing the workflow around it. Every relationship covered so far is a function of one column alone: rate × source , or a curved version of that if some nonlinearity is allowed. That's exactly right for a relationship that decomposes additively, one thing driving another, one thing decaying toward another, and it covers most everyday coupling with no loss of accuracy. It cannot represent a relationship whose effect depends on both variables together: predator-prey dynamics, mass-action chemistry, infection spread between two populations, anywhere the rate of change is a genuine product of two columns rather than a function of either alone. No amount of data fixes that; a source-only fit is structurally the wrong shape for it. The CSV behind the next two screenshots has exactly that shape: columnB 's true rate of change is 0.8 × columnA × columnB , a pure product with no plain linear term standing in for it. With the checkbox left unchecked, causal inference still finds something, a linear approximation is often close enough to look plausible: Checking it and running again, on the identical CSV, recovers the actual structure instead of an approximation of it: The tag change matters more than the score bump: "includes interaction term" means this candidate now describes the real mechanism, one that would keep holding outside the range of this particular CSV, rather than a linear stand-in that happened to track it closely over this data. Leaving the checkbox off costs nothing on a system that doesn't need it, at most a little extra fitting time and occasionally one small extra term with a coefficient near zero. On one that does need it, it's the difference between recovering the relationship and missing it entirely. A column nothing else predicts has always been a limited case: with no candidate edge and no self-term to explain it, it just sits at a constant value for the whole run. Any mapped column, not only one like that, can instead be marked to replay its own recorded values exactly. Importing this CSV without marking anything, columnA is an independent driver nothing in the data predicts, columnB responds to its previous value, and running the result for 5 seconds shows exactly that limitation: Re-running the same import, this time checking columnA in the Inputs list before committing: produces a genuinely different result, not just a different-looking one: That's not a coincidence of this particular run: an input-replayed column reads its exact recorded value at every sampled instant, driven by a generated source term rather than a fitted equation, so it's correct regardless of how finely the simulation substeps. Checking it for a column drops whatever candidate edge or self-term used to target it, since Konjugate sums every contribution to a state additively and keeping both would double-count. This isn't limited to columns with no predictors either: a column with real fitted structure can still be held to its ground truth on purpose, to isolate one part of a system, to distrust a particular fit or as a clean baseline to compare the rest of the model against. Both of these extend the same review dialog " Recovering structure from data https://www.konjugate.com/2026/08/recovering-structure-from-data.html " introduced; nothing about importing, mapping columns or committing selected candidates has changed underneath them.