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[ARTICLE · art-78013] src=news.ycombinator.com ↗ pub= topic=artificial-intelligence verified=true sentiment=· neutral

If U.S. labs slow down AGI development, this could be 2028

A Hacker News post speculates that if U.S. labs slow down AGI development, a scenario could unfold by 2028 where Chinese AI labs such as Moonshot Kimi 6, Alibaba Qwen 5, Z.ai, and MiniMax claim AGI-level capabilities, while U.S. companies like Anthropic and OpenAI receive less attention. The post claims digital nomads are moving to Shanghai for cheap AI tokens, U.S. software companies are shifting development teams to Europe and India to use Chinese AI, and China is supplying affordable AI data-center infrastructure to developing countries.

read1 min views1 publishedJul 29, 2026

If U.S. labs slow down AGI development, this could be 2028: Moonshot Kimi 6, Alibaba Qwen 5, Z.ai, and MiniMax are all claiming AGI-level capabilities. Meanwhile, people barely talk about Anthropic or OpenAI—just like Gemini’s situation in 2026.

Digital nomads are moving to Shanghai to flex cheap tokens. Major U.S. software companies are shifting core development teams to Europe and India ( Because they need to use Chinese AI) . China is supplying data-center infrastructure to developing countries, making AI tokens extremely affordable.

Meanwhile, American boomers are posting on X about how they use GPT or Claude every day—but in reality, they are coding with Kimi 6.4 Fast through anonymous accounts.

Comments URL: [https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49093166](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49093166)

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source & further reading
news.ycombinator.com — original article Ask HN: What agentic AI ad optimization tool do you use? Ask HN: How many AI agents do you actively use? Unacceptably terrible support from Claude Services
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