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GPU Compute Tightness Index

The GPU Compute Tightness Index fell to 43.8/100 as of June 29, 2026, entering Loose territory after a monthly drop of 13.7 points, indicating abundant idle AI infrastructure and supply exceeding near-term demand. Per-GPU readings show H100 at 37, B200 at 47, and H200 at 57, with spot discounts of 55%, 47%, and 31% below on-demand pricing.

read2 min views1 publishedJun 30, 2026

The Compute Tightness Index sank to 43.8/100 as of 2026-06-29, pushing the blended gauge into Loose territory after a -13.7 pts monthly drop that pulled it under the prior 44–64 range. Per-GPU readings of 37 for H100, 47 for B200, and 57 for H200 correspond to spot discounts of 55%, 47%, and 31% below on-demand, signaling abundant idle AI infrastructure and supply that currently exceeds near-term training and inference demand. It is the input-side companion to the Token Demand Index (the output — tokens consumed).

← looser · 45 balanced · 60 tight · tighter →

As of 2026-06-29 the blended index sits at 43.8 (Loose) and has been loosening over the past 30 days (-13.7 pts). Listing-weighted across H100, H200 and B200 by on-demand market depth.

GPU On-demand $/hr Spot $/hr Spot discount Listings CTI 30d
B200 $6.42 $3.43 47% 46 46.6 ▼ -5.9
H200 $4.13 $2.84 31% 69 56.9 ▼ -20.9
H100 $3.62 $1.64 55% 145 36.8 ▼ -13.5
MI355Xthin · excl. from blend $8.60 $0.00 100% 2

Spot discount = how far below on-demand the spot rate trades. A shrinking discount (rising CTI) means spare capacity is drying up; a widening discount (falling CTI) means idle GPUs are being dumped on spot. MI355X is tracked for coverage but excluded from the blended index — its listing count is too thin to weight reliably.

For each GPU on each day: CTI = 100 × ( 0.8 · spot_avg/on_demand_avg + 0.2 · unavailable/(unavailable + on_demand_listings) ) . The scarcity term is the share of listed capacity that has gone dark (clamped to 1). The blended index is the listing-weighted mean across B200, H200 and H100 (weighted by on-demand listing count, a proxy for market depth). Inputs are the daily GetDeploying aggregate of public GPU rental listings — on-demand, reserved and spot averages plus availability — one snapshot per day.

Reading it: <45 loose · 45–60 balanced · 60–80 tight · >80 acute scarcity. The spot-premium term dominates day to day; the availability term only bites when providers actually go dark, so it spikes the index during genuine capacity crunches. Young series (data since 2026-05-07); thresholds will calibrate as history accrues. Full daily history is available as CSV.

This is the input side of the AI-compute economy. For the output side, see the Token Demand Index (tokens consumed + the effective price of inference). Want the underlying rows or to query from an agent? Grab the CSV, or use the Bargo MCP endpoint (get_spot_pricing

). See also the research notes and Congress trades.

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