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Former FBI agent claims investigators are closing in on ‘porch guy’ in Nancy Guthrie case — leaving Megyn Kelly stunned

Former FBI agent Maureen O'Connell claims investigators are 75% confident they will soon arrest the masked 'porch guy' seen on Nancy Guthrie's doorbell camera the night she was kidnapped, stunning host Megyn Kelly. The 84-year-old mother of 'Today' host Savannah Guthrie was abducted from her Tucson home in February, and no suspects have been identified.

read3 min views5 publishedJun 24, 2026
Former FBI agent claims investigators are closing in on ‘porch guy’ in Nancy Guthrie case — leaving Megyn Kelly stunned
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Add The New York Post on Google Investigators may be close to arresting the masked and armed “porch guy,” seen on Nancy Guthrie’s doorbell camera the night she was kidnapped, according to a former FBI agent.

“I think they’re getting close to the porch guy and when they get the porch guy, the floodgates shall swing open,” Former FBI Special Agent Maureen O’Connell told Megyn Kelly on her radio show, leaving the host stunned.

O’Connell, citing her own inside sources, said she was “75%” confident that the haunting figure that has eluded authorities for nearly five months could soon be taken into custody.

“That’s big news. That’s huge — big if true, as the kids say,” Kelly responded, shocked.

Guthrie, the 84-year-old mother of “Today” host Savannah Guthrie, was abducted from her Tucson, Arizona home in the early morning hours of Feb. 1. No suspects have been identified.

Authorities released chilling footage days after her disappearance that showed a masked, pistol-packing man on Guthrie’s porch staring straight into the security camera lens while apparently breaking into the home.

Holding a flashlight in his mouth, he tried to cover the camera with a gloved fist, and then pulled a handful of flowers from Nancy’s garden in an attempt to blot out the lens. He was wearing fleece and a backpack, footage shows.

O’Connell’s prediction comes as it was revealed this week that two of the ransom notes Guthrie’s family received after her disappearance are believed by investigators to be legitimate — including one that claims Guthrie, who had a heart condition, had died.

The first note reportedly said Guthrie was safe and demanded millions of dollars in bitcoin. It also included details about a broken floodlight in Guthrie’s yard and what she was wearing, which led authorities to believe it may be real.

In the second note, the authors apologized to Guthrie’s family and said she had died and been buried in nature, according to ABC News.

Both notes were sent from the same IP address.

Savannah Guthrie addressed the reports live on air Tuesday morning in a tearful plea to have her mother returned.

“I wanted to just take the opportunity to ask people — to really to beg people — to come forward. Somebody knows something,” she said on “Today” beside her co-hosts.

Investigators have waited so long to make an arrest because they’ve been slowly trying to build a case for when this eventually goes to trial, O’Connell explained to Kelly.

“… From day one, you’re doing your trial prep, practically. Everything you do is geared toward the trial and prosecution,” she said.

“You’re going to have the greatest defense attorney in the world handling this case, whoever takes this case, so you have to operate under the assumption that a couple of big chunks of your evidence may get tossed. So you have to put a case together in such a way that it would withstand losing some of these chunks of evidence,” she said.

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