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[ARTICLE · art-81302] src=arxiv.org ↗ pub= topic=artificial-intelligence verified=true sentiment=· neutral

Eco3S: Complex Socio-Economic System Simulation via Agent-Based Models

Researchers propose Eco3S, a socio-economic system simulation framework using large language model-based agent-based models, which replicates established economic studies on canal decay, origins of governance, and information propagation. The framework introduces co-evolving environment design, structural causal simulation, and a simulation-analysis-refinement paradigm to address challenges in modeling agent-environment interactions, counterfactual reasoning, and automated workflows.

read1 min views1 publishedJul 31, 2026

arXiv:2607.26588v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid development of large language models (LLMs) has renewed interest in agent-based modeling (ABM). However, current LLM-based ABM research faces several key challenges: modeling evolving agent-environment interactions, enabling flexible counterfactual reasoning, and automating simulation workflows for scientific research. In this paper, we propose Eco3S, a socio-economic system simulation framework for economic research and policy analysis that addresses these challenges through three key mechanisms: (1) Co-evolving Environment Design, a bidirectional feedback loop where agents and the environment co-evolve, producing realistic emergent behaviors; (2) Structural Causal Simulation, a structural causal model (SCM)-inspired counterfactual mechanism that allows flexible interventions for diverse causal inference tasks; (3) Simulation-Analysis-Refinement Paradigm, a self-corrective mechanism that iteratively refines experimental designs based on prior simulation results. Experiments on diverse economic scenarios confirm \textit{Eco3S}'s effectiveness in replicating multiple established economic studies (canal decay, origins of governance, and information propagation) and phenomena across domains. Additional results further demonstrate its scalability and generalizability, highlighting the framework's potential for rigorous economic research and policy-making.

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