Crash Narrative-Guided Countermeasure Recommendation Using Large Language Models: A Retrieval-Augmented Generation Framework for Intersection Safety

arXiv:2609.15997v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Improving safety at intersections requires identifying crash mechanisms and recommending appropriate countermeasures. However, this process traditionally relies on expert judgment, making it labor-intensive, difficult to scale, and dependent on the availability of experienced traffic safety engineers. Although crash narratives contain rich description of crash mechanisms, this unstructured information remains largely underutilized in safety analyses. This study presents a crash narrative-guided retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) framework that translates narrative-derived crash mechanisms into site-specific countermeasure recommendations. Key mechanism attributes including traffic control, signal indication, driver fault, vehicle movement, and travel direction were extracted from crash narratives and linked to evidence-based treatments from the FHWA Proven Safety Countermeasures and the CMF Clearinghouse. The framework integrates embedding-based retrieval of historically similar intersections, association-rule mining, statistical guidance on the expected number of relevant countermeasures, and an engineering reasoning guidance that directs LLM through a domain-consistent decision process before selecting countermeasures. Evaluated on 312 fatal and serious-injury crashes across 115 intersections in Lake and Sumter Counties, Florida, using five-fold cross-validation, the framework achieved a precision of 0.82, recall of 0.85, and F1-score of 0.82, while recommending an average of 3.91 countermeasures per location with 3.14 matching, closely matching the actual average (3.86). Overall, the proposed framework demonstrates the potential of retrieval-augmented LLMs as an interpretable and scalable decision-support tool for transportation agencies for translating crash narratives into countermeasure recommendations.