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Circle Revenue Misses Estimates as Crypto Markets Mired in Rout

Circle Internet Group Inc. reported second-quarter revenue of $701 million, up 7% but below the $712 million average analyst estimate, as circulation of its USDC stablecoin fell from a peak amid a crypto market rout. Net income was $48 million, beating the $43 million expected. CEO Jeremy Allaire attributed the results to the rate environment and a slowed crypto market, while Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock to underweight citing headwinds including competition and slower-than-expected stablecoin adoption in payments.

read2 min views1 publishedAug 5, 2026
Circle Revenue Misses Estimates as Crypto Markets Mired in Rout
Image: Ca (auto-discovered)

(Bloomberg) -- Circle Internet Group Inc. reported second-quarter revenue that missed Wall Street expectations after circulation of its stablecoin USDC fell from a peak amid a protracted slide in cryptocurrency markets.

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Revenue increased 7% to $701 million, below the $712 million average forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Net income was $48 million, Circle said in a statement on Wednesday, higher than the $43 million analysts expected.

Circle's shares have been among the most volatile in the NYSE Composite Index since the firm went public a little more than a year ago, whipsawing investors amid swings in crypto market sentiment and legislative uncertainty. The moves are intensified by the high-stakes evolution of stablecoins, which are morphing from their original use as crypto-market poker chips into mainstream mediums of exchange that promise merchants and consumers cheaper, more efficient payment systems.

"Our quarterly financial results reflect the current rate environment and a crypto market that has slowed — both are conditions outside our network," Circle Chief Executive Officer Jeremy Allaire said in comments accompanying the results.

In a downgrade to "underweight" earlier this week, Morgan Stanley analysts pointed out a "confluence of tactical and structural headwinds" facing Circle. The analysts cut projections for the tokens in circulation for 2027 and 2028, saying stablecoin use in agentic commerce and payments may take longer to become meaningful, while competition is rising fast.

"The vast majority of USDC supply today is really driven by crypto activity," Ed Engel, an analyst at Compass Point Research & Trading, said before the results were released. "While I think it makes sense that investors have gotten a lot more negative on Circle's opportunity in payments, the opportunity for them in crypto hasn't changed that much. Look, we are in a crypto bear market."

The amount of USDC in circulation has fluctuated along with crypto prices. There was about $73.4 billion outstanding as of June 30, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That's up from roughly $62 billion in the year-earlier period, but down from a peak of around $79.6 billion in March. Tether's USDT stablecoin has about $183 billion of tokens in circulation.

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