AI in gdp

Quality-adjusted AI production in the United States grew at over 2,000 percent per year in 2024 and 2025, driven by data-center expansion, hardware efficiency, and algorithmic progress. Preliminary estimates place nominal AI GDP at approximately $250 billion in 2025, with quality-adjusted real growth of roughly 2,600 percent annually. The rapid expansion has outpaced existing national statistics, prompting calls for new satellite accounts to prevent a measurement gap from becoming a policy gap.

AI in gdp - Quality-adjusted AI production in the United States grew at over 2,000 percent per year in 2024 and 2025, driven by three compounding forces: expanding data-center capacity, hardware efficiency gains, and—the largest of the three—algorithmic progress. - Treating the AI sector as a coherent economic entity yields preliminary estimates of nominal AI GDP at approximately $250 billion in 2025, growing at roughly 2,600 percent per year in quality-adjusted real terms. - National economic statistics accounts were not designed to track this kind of activity. Statistics agencies should begin developing AI-focused satellite accounts now, before the measurement gap becomes a policy gap. Here is much more from Anton Korinek and Patrick McKelvey https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/2026/where-ai-gdp-statistics . Via the excellent Samir Varma https://x.com/samirvarma .