# ActMap: Single-Pass Uncertainty Quantification from Generation-Time Activation Maps

> Source: <https://www.machinebrief.com/news/actmap-single-pass-uncertainty-quantification-from-generatio-37d5>
> Published: 2026-09-12 04:00:00+00:00

arXiv:2609.11498v1 Announce Type: new 
Abstract: Practical uncertainty quantification (UQ) for large language models must decide,
  from a single generation, whether a specific answer should be trusted. Existing
  methods either sample multiple generations, read only output-token probabilities,
  or reduce the model's internal computation to a single hidden state. We introduce
  ActMap, a white-box representation that compresses the generation-time hidden-
  state trajectory (every layer, every generated token) into a fixed $12 \times 32
  \times 128$ tensor of temporal-statistic channels that preserves structure across
  transformer depth and pooled hidden coordinates. The map is captured during the
  generation pass with no measurable overhead, has a fixed shape across model
  depths and hidden sizes, and occupies 96 KiB: a compact artifact that can be
  retained for audit-relevant generations and probed directly, with occlusion
  analysis localizing the classifier's signal to mid-depth regions of the map. A
  lightweight classifier, instantiated as a compact Vision Transformer, reads an
  estimated correctness probability from each map in a fraction of a millisecond;
  capacity-matched MLPs perform comparably, indicating the representation itself
  carries the result. Trained and evaluated in-domain on short-answer QA, direct-
  answer math, and summarization factuality with three instruction-tuned 7-8B
  models, ActMap consistently outperforms sampling, token-probability, attention,
  and embedding baselines, and matches ACT-ViT, a detector trained on dense
  activation tensors $67 \times$ larger, at essentially the same mean AUROC with
  lower calibration error on ten of twelve pairs. The resulting score supports
  abstention, routing, and selective verification from a single generation, making
  it a practical primitive for scalable oversight of deployed models.
