{"type": "article", "title": "AI forecasting retrospective: you're (probably) over-confident", "publisher": "Web Pulse", "url": "https://wpnews.pro/news/ai-forecasting-retrospective-you-re-probably-over-confident", "original_source": "https://nicholas.carlini.com/writing/2025/forecasting-ai-2025-update.html", "published": "2025-02-09T00:00:00+00:00", "accessed": "2026-06-10", "id": "ai-forecasting-retrospective-you-re-probably-over-confident"}